How we count

One question, asked the same way for every sky event since July 2010: was Bitcoin higher or lower after it?

The window

Moon phases and eclipses: Bitcoin’s daily close (UTC) the day before the event, against the close 6 days after it. That is 7 daily candles, starting with the day of the event. Retrogrades: from the day the planet turns retrograde to the day it turns direct.

Compared with what

Bitcoin was higher in 55% of all 7-day stretches since July 2010. That is the bar any event has to clear. For retrogrades, the bar is every stretch of the same length: 56% for 23 days.

What normal looks like

Even random weeks don’t split evenly. Pick any 10 weeks and 3 to 8 of them will usually be up: 9 in 10 random sets land in that range. A count outside it happens by chance 1 time in 10, so one odd count proves nothing.

The last 10

The count at the top of each page uses the last 10 finished events, so each Moon in the row is 10%. Each event page also lists every event since 2010 with both closing prices, so you can redo any row.

Data

Bitcoin daily closes: Coin Metrics community data (CC BY-NC 4.0) to May 15, 2026, CoinMarketCap after that, last close Nov 5, 2026. Live price: CoinMarketCap, refreshed every few minutes, with its time shown next to it. Event times: US Naval Observatory and NASA (eclipse predictions by Fred Espenak and Jean Meeus). Sky geometry: Astronomy Engine.

What this isn’t

Not a forecast and not advice. Weeks after past events say what happened then, not what comes next. Sky lore and prices are shown side by side so you can judge for yourself.